Wiliete SC vs CD Sao Salvador
Match details. Girabola. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Wiliete SC have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W W. CD Sao Salvador have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L W.
The numbers. Wiliete SC score 2.6 and concede none a game in their last five at home, with five clean sheets. Wiliete SC average 9.4 shots (4.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.0 cards a game. CD Sao Salvador score 0.7 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 77% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: Wiliete SC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Wiliete SC the likelier winners; Wiliete SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Wiliete SC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 17%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25, 92% on the records (Wiliete SC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6; CD Sao Salvador: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5). Leave: Wiliete SC Over 0.5 Goals (CD Sao Salvador's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Wiliete SC 1-0 CD Sao Salvador (18% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).