Korabi Peshkopi vs KS Burreli
Match details. Kategoria e Pare. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time.
Form. Korabi Peshkopi have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L. KS Burreli have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W.
The numbers. Korabi Peshkopi score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Korabi Peshkopi average 7.7 shots (2.3 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.4 cards a game. KS Burreli score 1.3 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. KS Burreli average 6.7 shots (2.4 on target), 1.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 30% against the records' 57%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Korabi Peshkopi 1-1 KS Burreli (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).