Match details. Kategoria e Pare. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time.
Form. Bylis Ballsh have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W D. Besa Kavaje have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L.
The numbers. Bylis Ballsh score 1.7 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Bylis Ballsh average 9.0 shots (4.1 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Besa Kavaje score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Besa Kavaje average 14.1 shots (5.9 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
The case against. Bylis Ballsh's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. Besa Kavaje or the draw. A tight game. Besa Kavaje are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Besa Kavaje at 1.42, 75% on the records (Besa Kavaje unbeaten in 3 of 5 away; Bylis Ballsh failed to win 5 of 6). Leave: Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Besa Kavaje or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Bylis Ballsh 1-1 Besa Kavaje (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).