SFSAN

23:30Wed 28 Oct

SEP

Santos FC SP vs SE Palmeiras SP

CLASS B

THE READ

Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 23:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos. The referee is Flavio Rodrigues De Souza.

What's at stake. Santos FC SP are 8th on 46 points after 32 games, 4 points behind Bahia, 3 points clear of Sao Paulo. SE Palmeiras SP are 2nd on 69 points after 32 games, 1 point behind Flamengo, 15 points clear of Cruzeiro. A win would take them above Flamengo.

Team news. Santos FC SP are without Arthur Melo (muscle injury), G. Escobar (thigh injury), Gabriel Brazao (shoulder injury), Lucas Verissimo (injury), Neymar (red card), Vinicius Lira (knee injury). G. Escobar is their centre-back. SE Palmeiras SP are without Jefte (knee injury), Paulinho (inactive), Vitor Roque (inactive), R. Sosa (injury), Jefte (knee injury), Paulinho (inactive).

Form. Santos FC SP have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. In this competition Santos FC SP have gone D W L D W W. SE Palmeiras SP have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. In this competition SE Palmeiras SP have gone W W W W D W.

The numbers. Santos FC SP score 1.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Santos FC SP average 15.2 shots (5.4 on target), 5.9 corners and 3.8 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. SE Palmeiras SP score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. SE Palmeiras SP average 19.8 shots (6.8 on target), 6.9 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Santos FC SP have won two, drawn two and lost six. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, two were drawn and SE Palmeiras SP won two. The last time they met, on 3 Sep 2026, it finished Santos FC SP 0-0 SE Palmeiras SP: Santos FC SP had 19 shots to 9, 64% of the ball, eight yellow cards.

The case against. Santos FC SP's record still gives them 33% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The read. SE Palmeiras SP to win. An open game. SE Palmeiras SP are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour SE Palmeiras SP.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Santos FC SP Under 1.5 goals (Santos FC SP's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Santos FC SP 1-2 SE Palmeiras SP (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

SE Palmeiras SP or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAN 3 of 5 (60%) · SEP 9 of 10 (90%)77.7%

SE Palmeiras SP: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Santos FC SP: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level

SE Palmeiras SP win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.22

SAN 3 of 5 (60%) · SEP 9 of 10 (90%)77.7%

SE Palmeiras SP or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.26

SAN 4 of 5 (80%) · SEP 9 of 10 (90%)76.7%

SE Palmeiras SP scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Santos FC SP trailed or failed to win in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues)

SE Palmeiras SP 1UPSETTLEDPAGE ONLY

1.59

SAN 4 of 5 (80%) · SEP 8 of 10 (80%)73.3%

SE Palmeiras SP scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Santos FC SP trailed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · rule 2: the meetings back SE Palmeiras SP: in the last 10 meetings, Santos FC SP won 2, SE Palmeiras SP won 6 and 2 were drawn; in the last 4, SE Palmeiras SP won 2 and 2 were drawn

SE Palmeiras SP (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY

1.66

SAN 6 of 7 (86%) · SEP 1 of 7 (14%)72.3%

SE Palmeiras SP won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Santos FC SP lost 1 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 3 of 4 · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level · won 1, refunded 6, lost 2

1X2 - 2UP: SE Palmeiras SPSETTLEDPAGE ONLY

1.99

SAN 4 of 5 (80%) · SEP 7 of 10 (70%)60%

SE Palmeiras SP scored first 4 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 4 · led by 2 or won in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Santos FC SP trailed by 2 or lost in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · rule 2: the meetings back SE Palmeiras SP: in the last 10 meetings, Santos FC SP won 2, SE Palmeiras SP won 6 and 2 were drawn; in the last 4, SE Palmeiras SP won 2 and 2 were drawn

SE PALMEIRAS SP GOALS

SE Palmeiras SP Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.26

SAN 3 of 5 (60%) · SEP 9 of 10 (90%)75.7%

SE Palmeiras SP scored in 3 of 5 away · Santos FC SP conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.38

SAN 8 of 10 (80%) · SEP 2 of 5 (40%)60%

Santos FC SP: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SE Palmeiras SP: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level

CARDS

Over 5.5 cardsIN CODES

1.59

SAN 5 of 8 (62%) · SEP 7 of 8 (88%)75%

Santos FC SP's games: over 5.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SE Palmeiras SP's games: over 5.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level

Left off the list: Santos FC SP Under 1.5 goals (Santos FC SP's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 7.7%

Santos FC SP goals →

SE Palmeiras SP goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-28%

2-25%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-41.0%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

SANTOS FC SPDWWWWWDLWD2.10 PPG

SE PALMEIRAS SPLWDDWDWWWW2.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SANTOS FC SP HOMExSE PALMEIRAS SP AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME1.801.20CONCEDED A GAME0.6010%CLEAN SHEETS60%9%FAILED TO SCORE12%5.88CORNERS A GAME6.883.75CARDS A GAME3.621.63xG1.961.40xG AGAINST0.86

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

51%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

85%

OKAY · 85/90

SANTOS FC SP OR DRAW

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

SE PALMEIRAS SP OR DRAW

72%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

SANTOS FC SP 2 · 20%DRAW 2SE PALMEIRAS SP 6 · 60%

3 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-01-28Santos FC SP 1 – 2 SE Palmeiras SP

2024-03-31Santos FC SP 1 – 0 SE Palmeiras SP

2024-04-07Santos FC SP 0 – 2 SE Palmeiras SP

2025-01-23Santos FC SP 1 – 2 SE Palmeiras SP

2025-11-07Santos FC SP 0 – 2 SE Palmeiras SP

2025-11-16Santos FC SP 1 – 0 SE Palmeiras SP

2026-01-14Santos FC SP 0 – 1 SE Palmeiras SP

2026-05-02Santos FC SP 1 – 1 SE Palmeiras SP

TEAM NEWS

SANTOS FC SP

Out: Arthur Melo (Muscle Injury), G. Escobar (Thigh Injury), Gabriel Brazao (Shoulder Injury), Lucas Verissimo (Injury), Neymar (Red Card), Vinicius Lira (Knee Injury)

SE PALMEIRAS SP

Out: Jefte (Knee Injury), Paulinho (Inactive), Vitor Roque (Inactive), R. Sosa (Injury), Jefte (Knee Injury), Paulinho (Inactive)

TRENDS

Santos FC SP have scored in 100% of their games.

SE Palmeiras SP have scored in 80% of their games.

Santos FC SP kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

SE Palmeiras SP kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards