Red Bull Bragantino SP vs Chapecoense SC
Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 23:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista, São Paulo. The referee is Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes.
What's at stake. Red Bull Bragantino SP are 10th on 41 points after 32 games, 2 points behind Sao Paulo, 2 points clear of Botafogo. A win would take them above Sao Paulo. Chapecoense SC are 20th on 21 points after 31 games, 5 points behind Remo.
Team news. Red Bull Bragantino SP are without Davi Gomes (knee injury), Gabriel (yellow cards), Gustavo Marques (inactive), Gustavo Neves (inactive), A. Hurtado (inactive), Tiago Volpi (yellow cards). Tiago Volpi is their first-choice keeper. Gustavo Marques is their centre-back. Chapecoense SC are without Camilo Reijers (yellow cards), Heitor (hamstring injury), Robert Conceicao (knee injury), Vinicius Balieiro (knee injury), Yago Felipe (yellow cards), Rafael Carvalheira (knee injury).
Form. Red Bull Bragantino SP have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D L. In this competition Red Bull Bragantino SP have gone L D W D L L. Chapecoense SC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D. In this competition Chapecoense SC have gone W L L L D L.
The numbers. Red Bull Bragantino SP score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Red Bull Bragantino SP average 19.5 shots (7.1 on target), 7.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Chapecoense SC score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Chapecoense SC average 13.2 shots (3.9 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Red Bull Bragantino SP have won three, drawn one and lost one. Three of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Red Bull Bragantino SP won two, one was drawn and Chapecoense SC won one. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished Red Bull Bragantino SP 2-1 Chapecoense SC: Red Bull Bragantino SP had 7 shots to 19, 45% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%; three of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Chapecoense SC's record still gives them 32% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Red Bull Bragantino SP to win. An open game. The meetings favour Red Bull Bragantino SP. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%. Three of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 72% on the records (Red Bull Bragantino SP: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Chapecoense SC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Chapecoense SC Under 1.5 goals (Red Bull Bragantino SP's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (Red Bull Bragantino SP are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Red Bull Bragantino SP 2-1 Chapecoense SC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).