Fluminense FC RJ vs SC Internacional RS
Fluminense FC RJ: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · SC Internacional RS: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at SC Internacional RS's level · SC Internacional RS: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level
Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 23:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro. The referee is Lucas Casagrande.
What's at stake. Fluminense FC RJ are 5th on 51 points after 32 games, 3 points behind Atletico Paranaense, 1 point clear of Atletico-MG. A win would take them level on points with Atletico Paranaense. SC Internacional RS are 16th on 35 points after 32 games, 2 points behind Mirassol, 1 point clear of Gremio. A win would take them above Mirassol.
Team news. Fluminense FC RJ are without Alisson (hip injury), John Kennedy (knee injury), Martinelli (inactive), Matheus Reis (knee injury), J. Millan (inactive), Alisson (hip injury). John Kennedy is their top scorer. SC Internacional RS are without Anthoni (knee injury), Kayky (ankle injury), S. Rochet (lower back injury), A. Sanabria (calf injury), Anthoni (knee injury), Kayky (ankle injury). Anthoni is their first-choice keeper.
Form. Fluminense FC RJ have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. In this competition Fluminense FC RJ have gone L L L W W L. SC Internacional RS have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L. In this competition SC Internacional RS have gone W L D W L W.
The numbers. Fluminense FC RJ score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Fluminense FC RJ average 12.0 shots (4.8 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. SC Internacional RS score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. SC Internacional RS average 13.1 shots (4.1 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.8 cards a game, with 40% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Fluminense FC RJ have won four, drawn four and lost two. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Fluminense FC RJ won two, one was drawn and SC Internacional RS won one. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished Fluminense FC RJ 0-2 SC Internacional RS: Fluminense FC RJ had 11 shots to 18, 67% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Fluminense FC RJ without John Kennedy (striker). SC Internacional RS's record still gives them 27% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Fluminense FC RJ or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Fluminense FC RJ the likelier winners; Fluminense FC RJ are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Fluminense FC RJ. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%.
The bets. Best bet: SC Internacional RS Under 1.5 Goals at 1.29, 73% on the records (SC Internacional RS scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away; Fluminense FC RJ conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.31. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Fluminense FC RJ 2-1 SC Internacional RS (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).