LASK Linz vs SV Ried
Match details. OFB Cup, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at Raiffeisen Arena, Linz.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. LASK Linz have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. In this competition LASK Linz have gone W. SV Ried have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D. In this competition SV Ried have gone W.
The numbers. LASK Linz score 2.4 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. LASK Linz average 15.8 shots (4.9 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. SV Ried score 2.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. SV Ried average 13.6 shots (5.0 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings LASK Linz have won two, drawn four and lost two. Two of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, LASK Linz won one, two were drawn and SV Ried won one. The last time they met, on 14 Aug 2026, it finished LASK Linz 4-1 SV Ried: LASK Linz had 15 shots to 6, 50% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their xG points to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%; six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. SV Ried's record still gives them 37% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their xG points to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The read. LASK Linz to win. A tight game. SV Ried are the stronger side on form and the table. Six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); LASK Linz or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: LASK Linz 2-0 SV Ried (4% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).