Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Celje
Match details. PrvaLiga, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Stožice, Ljubljana. The referee is B. Mertik.
What's at stake. Olimpija Ljubljana are 4th on 18 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Bravo, 1 point clear of Nafta. A win would take them above Bravo. NK Celje are 6th on 16 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Nafta, 3 points clear of Aluminij. A win would take them above Nafta.
Form. Olimpija Ljubljana have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W. In this competition Olimpija Ljubljana have gone W D L W W D. NK Celje have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L L. In this competition NK Celje have gone D W D L L W.
The numbers. Olimpija Ljubljana score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Olimpija Ljubljana average 5.2 corners and 2.6 cards a game. NK Celje score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. NK Celje average 5.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Olimpija Ljubljana have won four, drawn two and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Olimpija Ljubljana won two and NK Celje won two. The last time they met, on 8 Aug 2026, it finished Olimpija Ljubljana 0-1 NK Celje.
The case against. NK Celje's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Olimpija Ljubljana or the draw. A tight game. Olimpija Ljubljana are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.36, 76% on the records (Olimpija Ljubljana: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; NK Celje: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 away). Backup: Olimpija Ljubljana or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.34. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Olimpija Ljubljana Over 0.5 goals (NK Celje's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 NK Celje (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).