Halmstads BK scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Malmo conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · Halmstads BK: only games against sides at Malmo's level · Malmo: only games against sides at Halmstads BK's level
Match details. Allsvenskan, Regular Season - 26. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Orjans Vall, Halmstad. The referee is Kristoffer Karlsson.
What's at stake. Halmstads BK are 16th on 17 points after 25 games, 2 points behind Orgryte IS. A win would take them above Orgryte IS. Malmo are 8th on 37 points after 25 games, 1 point behind AIK Stockholm, level on points with IFK Goteborg. A win would take them above AIK Stockholm.
Team news. Malmo are without I. Assibu (inactive), K. Busuladzic (injury), A. Hoog (inactive), P. Jansson (knee injury), N. John (inactive), W. Kamanzi (muscle injury).
Form. Halmstads BK have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L. In this competition Halmstads BK have gone W L L W L L. Malmo have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W. In this competition Malmo have gone D L W L W D.
The numbers. Halmstads BK score 0.7 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Halmstads BK average 12.2 shots (4.4 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Malmo score 0.8 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and five games without a goal. Malmo average 18.1 shots (5.9 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Halmstads BK have won none, drawn one and lost nine. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Malmo won four. The last time they met, on 30 May 2026, it finished Halmstads BK 2-5 Malmo: Halmstads BK had 14 shots to 19, 34% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Halmstads BK's record still gives them 26% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The read. Malmo to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Malmo the likelier winners; Malmo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Malmo; the meetings favour Malmo. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 73% on the records (Halmstads BK: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10; Malmo: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 10). Full cover: Halmstads BK Under 1.5 Goals at 1.37. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Malmo Over 0.5 goals (Malmo's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Halmstads BK 1-2 Malmo (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).