Match details. OFB Cup, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Wacker Innsbruck have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D D. In this competition Wacker Innsbruck have gone W. WSG Tirol have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L D. In this competition WSG Tirol have gone W.
The numbers. Wacker Innsbruck score one and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Wacker Innsbruck average 10.7 shots (4.2 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game. WSG Tirol score two and concede one a game in their last six away, with four clean sheets. WSG Tirol average 15.0 shots (5.3 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Wacker Innsbruck have won five, drawn none and lost three. Five of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Wacker Innsbruck won four. The last time they met, on 4 May 2018, it finished Wacker Innsbruck 2-0 WSG Tirol: Wacker Innsbruck had 14 shots to 10, 55% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. WSG Tirol are the form side, but the meetings favour Wacker Innsbruck: in the last eight meetings, Wacker Innsbruck won five and WSG Tirol won three. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%; five of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Wacker Innsbruck 1-1 WSG Tirol (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).