Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz vs Salzburg
Match details. OFB Cup, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at ImmoAgentur Stadion Bregenz.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L W. Salzburg have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L D. In this competition Salzburg have gone W.
The numbers. Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz score 1.3 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz average 11.9 shots (4.1 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.5 cards a game. Salzburg score 1.7 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. Salzburg average 15.2 shots (5.6 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 9 Sep 2020, it finished Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 0-10 Salzburg.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 85% against the records' 47%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The read. No firm call: Salzburg are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Salzburg the likelier winners; Salzburg are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Salzburg.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Salzburg are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Salzburg are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1-1 Salzburg (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).