Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessaloniki

Match details. Greece Cup, Greek Cup - 4. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis, Athína (Athens).

Form. Panathinaikos have won nine, drawn none and lost one of their last ten, 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. In this competition Panathinaikos have gone W. Aris Thessaloniki have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W.

The numbers. Panathinaikos score 3.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Panathinaikos average 20.1 shots (6.4 on target), 8.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 64% of the ball. Aris Thessaloniki score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Aris Thessaloniki average 13.6 shots (4.3 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Panathinaikos have won five, drawn two and lost three. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Panathinaikos won two, one was drawn and Aris Thessaloniki won one. The last time they met, on 1 Mar 2026, it finished Panathinaikos 3-1 Aris Thessaloniki: Panathinaikos had 10 shots to 13, 42% of the ball, five yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%; eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Aris Thessaloniki's record still gives them 23% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.

The read. Panathinaikos to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Panathinaikos the likelier winners; Panathinaikos are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Panathinaikos; the meetings favour Panathinaikos. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Panathinaikos or Draw at 1.16, 77% on the records (Panathinaikos unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Aris Thessaloniki failed to win 3 of 5 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Panathinaikos or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Panathinaikos 2-0 Aris Thessaloniki (8% chance).