GS Marko vs Olympiacos
Match details. Greece Cup, Greek Cup - 4. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ethniko Stadio Markopoulou, Markopoulo Mesogeas.
Form. GS Marko have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. In this competition GS Marko have gone L D. Olympiacos have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Olympiacos have gone W.
The numbers. GS Marko score 1.3 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. GS Marko average 7.8 shots (3.7 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Olympiacos score 1.7 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. Olympiacos average 18.2 shots (4.8 on target), 7.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
The case against. GS Marko's record still gives them 39% to win.
The read. Olympiacos to win. A tight game. Olympiacos are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Olympiacos Over 0.5 Goals (GS Marko's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); GS Marko Under 1.5 goals (GS Marko's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (Olympiacos are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: GS Marko 0-1 Olympiacos (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).