Match details. EFL Cup. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. Liverpool have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. Chelsea have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D.
The numbers. Liverpool score 1.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Liverpool average 14.9 shots (5.1 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Chelsea score 2.5 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Chelsea average 6.0 corners and 0.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Chelsea the likelier winners, but Liverpool are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Liverpool.
The case against. Chelsea's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Liverpool or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Chelsea the likelier winners; Liverpool are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Liverpool. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Liverpool Over 1.5 goals (Liverpool's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Liverpool (Draw No Bet) (the signs point different ways); 1X2 - 2UP: Liverpool (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Liverpool 2-2 Chelsea (7% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Liverpool or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIV 5 of 6 (83%) · CHE 8 of 8 (100%)95.8%
Liverpool: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Liverpool: only games against sides at Chelsea's level · Chelsea: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
Liverpool or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.16
LIV 4 of 6 (67%) · CHE 7 of 8 (88%)88.5%
Liverpool: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Liverpool: only games against sides at Chelsea's level · Chelsea: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
Liverpool or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.27
LIV 5 of 6 (83%) · CHE 7 of 8 (88%)80.2%
Liverpool: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Liverpool: only games against sides at Chelsea's level · Chelsea: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
Liverpool or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.27
LIV 4 of 5 (80%) · CHE 5 of 6 (83%)71.1%
Liverpool scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea trailed or failed to win in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Liverpool: only games against sides at Chelsea's level · Chelsea: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
Liverpool or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.62
LIV 3 of 6 (50%) · CHE 4 of 8 (50%)68.8%
Liverpool: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · Liverpool: only games against sides at Chelsea's level · Chelsea: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
Liverpool 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.51
LIV 3 of 5 (60%) · CHE 4 of 6 (67%)58.9%
Liverpool scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea trailed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Liverpool: only games against sides at Chelsea's level · Chelsea: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.15
LIV 4 of 6 (67%) · CHE 8 of 8 (100%)91.7%
Liverpool: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Liverpool: only games against sides at Chelsea's level · Chelsea: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
LIV 2 of 6 (33%) · CHE 6 of 8 (75%)64.6%
Liverpool: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 54% · Liverpool: only games against sides at Chelsea's level · Chelsea: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
LIVERPOOL GOALS
Liverpool Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.18
LIV 4 of 6 (67%) · CHE 7 of 8 (88%)88.5%
Liverpool scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Liverpool: only games against sides at Chelsea's level · Chelsea: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.16
LIV 3 of 6 (50%) · CHE 8 of 8 (100%)75%
Liverpool: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Liverpool: only games against sides at Chelsea's level · Chelsea: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
Left off the list: Liverpool Over 1.5 goals (Liverpool's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Liverpool (Draw No Bet) (the numbers (42%) and the records (61%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); 1X2 - 2UP: Liverpool (the numbers (37%) and the records (55%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Liverpool to Win (the numbers (33%) and the records (52%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–27.2%
Liverpool goals →
Chelsea goals ↓
0-03%
1-03%
2-03%
3-02%
4-00.9%
5-00.3%
0-14%
1-18%
2-17%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-25%
1-28%
2-27%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.7%
0-33%
1-36%
2-35%
3-33%
4-31%
5-30.5%
0-42%
1-43%
2-43%
3-42%
4-40.7%
5-40.2%
0-50.7%
1-51%
2-51%
3-50.6%
4-50.3%
5-50.1%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
LIVERPOOLWWWWLWWDWW2.50 PPG
CHELSEALWWLDWLWWW1.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LIVERPOOL HOMExCHELSEA AWAY
2.20SCORED A GAME2.501.20CONCEDED A GAME1.8040%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.00CORNERS A GAME6.003.00CARDS A GAME0.50
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.88POINTS A GAME1.62+0.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.25+1.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.42.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.48LEAGUE GAMES8
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
67%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
88%
OKAY · 85/90
LIVERPOOL OR DRAW
63%
NO · 80/85
CHELSEA OR DRAW
63%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LIVERPOOLxCHELSEA
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.800.80CONCEDED A GAME1.601.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE40%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.09.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES12.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Liverpool have scored in 80% of their games.
Chelsea have scored in 80% of their games.
Liverpool kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Chelsea kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsteam newscornerscards