Match details. Premiership, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at McDiarmid Park, Perth.
What's at stake. St. Johnstone FC are 8th on 12 points after 10 games, level on points with Falkirk, 1 point clear of Aberdeen. A win would take them above Falkirk. Motherwell FC are 10th on 8 points after 10 games, 3 points behind Aberdeen, level on points with Kilmarnock. A win would take them level on points with Aberdeen.
Form. St. Johnstone FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D L. In this competition St. Johnstone FC have gone L D W D L W. Motherwell FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Motherwell FC have gone L L L L L L.
The numbers. St. Johnstone FC score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. St. Johnstone FC average 9.5 shots (3.4 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Motherwell FC score 1.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Motherwell FC average 15.2 shots (5.0 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings St. Johnstone FC have won three, drawn three and lost three. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, St. Johnstone FC won two and Motherwell FC won two. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2025, it finished St. Johnstone FC 2-3 Motherwell FC: St. Johnstone FC had 16 shots to 17, 55% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%; six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Motherwell FC's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. St. Johnstone FC to win. An open game. St. Johnstone FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour St. Johnstone FC. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: St. Johnstone FC or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); St. Johnstone FC 1UP (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: St. Johnstone FC 2-1 Motherwell FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).