St Mirren FC vs Hibernian FC
Match details. Premiership, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at The SMiSA Stadium, Paisley.
What's at stake. St Mirren FC are 6th on 13 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Dundee, 1 point clear of Falkirk. A win would take them above Dundee. Hibernian FC are 12th on 7 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Kilmarnock. A win would take them above Kilmarnock.
Form. St Mirren FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. In this competition St Mirren FC have gone W L L L L L. Hibernian FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. In this competition Hibernian FC have gone L L L D L L.
The numbers. St Mirren FC score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. St Mirren FC average 12.8 shots (3.9 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Hibernian FC score one and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Hibernian FC average 16.8 shots (4.0 on target), 6.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings St Mirren FC have won three, drawn four and lost three. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, two were drawn and Hibernian FC won two. The last time they met, on 14 Feb 2026, it finished St Mirren FC 0-2 Hibernian FC: St Mirren FC had 7 shots to 13, 41% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. St Mirren FC's record still gives them 45% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Hibernian FC or the draw. A tight game. St Mirren FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour St Mirren FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.51, 74% on the records (St Mirren FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Hibernian FC: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: St Mirren FC 1-1 Hibernian FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).