Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock FC
Kilmarnock FC scored in 3 of 5 away · Dundee FC conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · Kilmarnock FC: only games against sides at Dundee FC's level · Dundee FC: only games against sides at Kilmarnock FC's level
Match details. Premiership, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Dens Park, Dundee.
What's at stake. Dundee FC are 5th on 14 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Dundee Utd, 1 point clear of ST Mirren. A win would take them above Dundee Utd. Kilmarnock FC are 11th on 8 points after 10 games, level on points with Motherwell, 1 point clear of Hibernian. A win would take them above Motherwell.
Form. Dundee FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L. In this competition Dundee FC have gone L D W W L D. Kilmarnock FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. In this competition Kilmarnock FC have gone L W L D W D.
The numbers. Dundee FC score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Dundee FC average 12.5 shots (4.6 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 40% of the ball. Kilmarnock FC score one and concede two a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Kilmarnock FC average 11.4 shots (3.6 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Dundee FC have won three, drawn four and lost three. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in nine. In the last four, Dundee FC won two, one was drawn and Kilmarnock FC won one. The last time they met, on 12 May 2026, it finished Dundee FC 1-3 Kilmarnock FC: Dundee FC had 7 shots to 19, 48% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
The case against. Kilmarnock FC's record still gives them 26% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Dundee FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Dundee FC the likelier winners; Dundee FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Dundee FC.
The bets. Best bet: Dundee FC or Draw at 1.29, 75% on the records (Dundee FC unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Kilmarnock FC failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: Dundee FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Dundee FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Dundee FC or draw and under 3.5 goals (Dundee FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Dundee FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Dundee FC 1-0 Kilmarnock FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).