ABEABE

20:45Wed 28 Oct

FAL

Aberdeen vs Falkirk FC

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Premiership, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen.

What's at stake. Aberdeen are 9th on 11 points after 10 games, 1 point behind ST Johnstone, 3 points clear of Motherwell. A win would take them above ST Johnstone. Falkirk FC are 7th on 12 points after 10 games, 1 point behind ST Mirren, level on points with ST Johnstone. A win would take them above ST Mirren.

Form. Aberdeen have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. In this competition Aberdeen have gone L W L D W D. Falkirk FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. In this competition Falkirk FC have gone W W L D W D.

The numbers. Aberdeen score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Aberdeen average 13.6 shots (3.4 on target), 6.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Falkirk FC score one and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Falkirk FC average 12.2 shots (4.5 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last three meetings Aberdeen have won none, drawn one and lost two. None of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 14 Mar 2026, it finished Aberdeen 1-1 Falkirk FC: Aberdeen had 9 shots to 7, 42% of the ball, one yellow card.

The case against. Falkirk FC's record still gives them 38% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%. Not everything agrees on goals: three of the last three meetings went under 2.5.

The read. Aberdeen or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Aberdeen 2-1 Falkirk FC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.27

ABE 2 of 5 (40%) · FAL 4 of 5 (80%)76.5%

Aberdeen: over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Falkirk FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 1 of 3 · Aberdeen: only games against sides at Falkirk FC's level · Falkirk FC: only games against sides at Aberdeen's level

FALKIRK FC GOALS

Falkirk FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.37

ABE 4 of 5 (80%) · FAL 4 of 5 (80%)64.8%

Falkirk FC scored in 4 of 5 away · Aberdeen conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 3 · Falkirk FC: only games against sides at Aberdeen's level · Aberdeen: only games against sides at Falkirk FC's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.23

ABE 3 of 5 (60%) · FAL 3 of 5 (60%)70%

Aberdeen: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Falkirk FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · Aberdeen: only games against sides at Falkirk FC's level · Falkirk FC: only games against sides at Aberdeen's level

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ABE 6 of 8 (75%) · FAL 7 of 8 (88%)87.3%

Aberdeen's games: over 1.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Falkirk FC's games: over 1.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Aberdeen: only games against sides at Falkirk FC's level · Falkirk FC: only games against sides at Aberdeen's level

Left off the list: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.6%

Aberdeen goals →

Falkirk FC goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

ABERDEENWLLLDWDLWL1.10 PPG

FALKIRK FCLDLLDWDLWW1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ABERDEEN HOMExFALKIRK FC AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.201.30CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS20%50%FAILED TO SCORE20%6.38CORNERS A GAME4.882.50CARDS A GAME1.881.15xG1.291.40xG AGAINST1.78

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.10POINTS A GAME1.20-0.10GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00+0.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.21.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.010LEAGUE GAMES10

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

83%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

ABERDEEN OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

FALKIRK FC OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ABERDEENxFALKIRK FC

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.001.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.040%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3

ABERDEEN 0 · 0%DRAW 1FALKIRK FC 2 · 67%

1 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED

1 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS

0 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS

2025-08-31Aberdeen 0 – 1 Falkirk FC

2026-01-03Aberdeen 0 – 1 Falkirk FC

2026-03-14Aberdeen 1 – 1 Falkirk FC

TRENDS

Aberdeen have scored in 60% of their games.

Falkirk FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Aberdeen kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Falkirk FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards