ENGLAND - EFL CUP
20:45Wed 28 Oct
BRE
BRE
Sunderland AFC vs Brentford
CLASS A
THE READ
Match details. EFL Cup, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Stadium of Light, Sunderland. The referee is Gavin Ward.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Sunderland AFC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W L. In this competition Sunderland AFC have gone W. Brentford have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W. In this competition Brentford have gone W W.
The numbers. Sunderland AFC score 0.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Sunderland AFC average 15.8 shots (5.0 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Brentford score 2.3 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Brentford average 14.6 shots (4.4 on target), 4.1 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Sunderland AFC have won one, drawn two and lost two. Three of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Sunderland AFC won one, one was drawn and Brentford won two. The last time they met, on 5 Sep 2026, it finished Sunderland AFC 1-1 Brentford: Sunderland AFC had 14 shots to 12, 51% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%; three of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. A knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and Brentford are not clearly stronger.
The read. Brentford or the draw. Their goals for and against make Brentford the likelier winners; Brentford are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Sunderland AFC 1-1 Brentford (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Brentford or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.14
SUN 5 of 5 (100%) · BRE 6 of 6 (100%)86.7%
Brentford scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 6 away · Sunderland AFC trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 at home
Brentford or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SUN 8 of 8 (100%) · BRE 5 of 6 (83%)84.4%
Brentford: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sunderland AFC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 5 of 5 · Brentford: only games against sides at Sunderland AFC's level · Sunderland AFC: only games against sides at Brentford's level · the call is Brentford or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and Brentford are not cl
Brentford win or both teams scoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.20
SUN 8 of 8 (100%) · BRE 5 of 6 (83%)84.4%
Brentford: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sunderland AFC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 5 of 5 · Brentford: only games against sides at Sunderland AFC's level · Sunderland AFC: only games against sides at Brentford's level · the call is Brentford or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and Brentford are not cl
Double Chance: Draw or BrentfordIN CODES
1.19
SUN 7 of 8 (88%) · BRE 6 of 6 (100%)80.8%
Brentford unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sunderland AFC failed to win 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 4 of 5 · Brentford: only games against sides at Sunderland AFC's level · Sunderland AFC: only games against sides at Brentford's level
Brentford (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.28
SUN 4 of 5 (80%) · BRE 4 of 7 (57%)78%
Brentford won 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Sunderland AFC lost 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 2 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against · won 4, refunded 5, lost 2
Brentford or Under 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.17
SUN 5 of 8 (62%) · BRE 6 of 6 (100%)69.2%
Brentford: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sunderland AFC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 3 of 5 · Brentford: only games against sides at Sunderland AFC's level · Sunderland AFC: only games against sides at Brentford's level · the call is Brentford or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and Brentford are not cl
Brentford 1UPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.32
SUN 4 of 5 (80%) · BRE 5 of 6 (83%)67.8%
Brentford scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 6 away · Sunderland AFC trailed in 2 of 5 at home · the call is Brentford or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and Brentford are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Brentford or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.79
SUN 5 of 6 (83%) · BRE 5 of 8 (62%)66.1%
Sunderland AFC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 3 of 5 · Sunderland AFC: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Sunderland AFC's level
Brentford or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNHELD · the odds board 80%
1.25
SUN 5 of 8 (62%) · BRE 4 of 6 (67%)53%
Brentford: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sunderland AFC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 5 · Brentford: only games against sides at Sunderland AFC's level · Sunderland AFC: only games against sides at Brentford's level · the call is Brentford or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and Brentford are not cl
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.21
SUN 5 of 6 (83%) · BRE 8 of 8 (100%)93.2%
Sunderland AFC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 4 of 5 · Sunderland AFC: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Sunderland AFC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.53
SUN 5 of 6 (83%) · BRE 6 of 8 (75%)73.4%
Sunderland AFC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 4 of 5 · Sunderland AFC: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Sunderland AFC's level
SUNDERLAND AFC GOALS
Sunderland AFC Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.45
SUN 5 of 6 (83%) · BRE 5 of 8 (62%)66.2%
Sunderland AFC scored under 1.5 in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 3 of 5 · Sunderland AFC: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Sunderland AFC's level
BRENTFORD GOALS
Brentford Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.19
SUN 8 of 8 (100%) · BRE 5 of 6 (83%)77.2%
Brentford scored in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sunderland AFC conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 5 of 5 · Brentford: only games against sides at Sunderland AFC's level · Sunderland AFC: only games against sides at Brentford's level
CORNERS
Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SUN 4 of 5 (80%) · BRE 5 of 7 (71%)75.7%
Sunderland AFC's games: over 6.5 corners in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford's games: over 6.5 corners in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Sunderland AFC: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Sunderland AFC's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SUN 4 of 5 (80%) · BRE 5 of 7 (71%)75.7%
Sunderland AFC's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Brentford's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Sunderland AFC: only games against sides at Brentford's level · Brentford: only games against sides at Sunderland AFC's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.6%
Sunderland AFC goals →
Brentford goals ↓
0-08%
1-07%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-110%
1-113%
2-17%
3-12%
4-10.7%
5-10.1%
0-29%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.6%
1-50.6%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
SUNDERLAND AFCDWLWLLWLDD1.20 PPG
BRENTFORDWWDDDWWDLD1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SUNDERLAND AFC HOMExBRENTFORD AWAY
0.90SCORED A GAME2.201.40CONCEDED A GAME1.1030%CLEAN SHEETS20%50%FAILED TO SCORE0%6.25CORNERS A GAME4.122.62CARDS A GAME3.001.85xG1.411.95xG AGAINST1.66
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
SUNDERLAND AFC 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.62POINTS A GAME1.38-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.62-2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.20.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.28LEAGUE GAMES8
Brentford: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
BRENTFORD 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
77%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
60%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 85/90
SUNDERLAND AFC OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
BRENTFORD OR DRAW
85%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SUNDERLAND AFCxBRENTFORD
5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.802.20CONCEDED A GAME1.402.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%20%BOTH SCORE80%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.69.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5
SUNDERLAND AFC 1 · 20%DRAW 2BRENTFORD 2 · 40%
3 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED
5 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS
2017-10-21Sunderland AFC 3 – 3 Brentford
2018-02-17Sunderland AFC 0 – 2 Brentford
2025-08-30Sunderland AFC 2 – 1 Brentford
2026-01-07Sunderland AFC 0 – 3 Brentford
2026-09-05Sunderland AFC 1 – 1 Brentford
TRENDS
Sunderland AFC have scored in 60% of their games.
Brentford have scored in 100% of their games.
Sunderland AFC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Brentford kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headteam newscornerscards