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ENGLAND - EFL CUP
Fulham crestFULFUL
20:45Wed 28 Oct
CRYCrystal Palace crestCP

Fulham vs Crystal Palace

CLASS A
THE READ

Match details. EFL Cup, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Craven Cottage, London. The referee is Simon Hooper.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Fulham have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. In this competition Fulham have gone W W. Crystal Palace have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. In this competition Crystal Palace have gone W.

The numbers. Fulham score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Fulham average 14.1 shots (4.5 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Crystal Palace score 1.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Crystal Palace average 11.8 shots (4.1 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Fulham have won one, drawn four and lost four. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, one was drawn and Crystal Palace won three. The last time they met, on 5 Sep 2026, it finished Fulham 2-3 Crystal Palace: Fulham had 25 shots to 10, 64% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. Crystal Palace's record still gives them 48% to win. The meetings do not back them.

The read. Fulham or the draw. Both teams' records favour Crystal Palace; the meetings favour Crystal Palace.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Fulham 1-1 Crystal Palace (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Fulham or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FUL 6 of 8 (75%) · CRY 5 of 6 (83%)79.7%
Fulham: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 6 of 6 · Fulham: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Fulham's level
Fulham or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES
1.29
FUL 5 of 8 (62%) · CRY 5 of 6 (83%)60.7%
Fulham: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 4 of 6 · Fulham: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Fulham's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.09
FUL 8 of 8 (100%) · CRY 6 of 6 (100%)97.2%
Fulham: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Fulham: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Fulham's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.23
FUL 6 of 8 (75%) · CRY 3 of 6 (50%)86.8%
Fulham: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 5 of 6 · Fulham: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Fulham's level
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES
1.21
FUL 4 of 8 (50%) · CRY 5 of 6 (83%)69.2%
Fulham: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 6 of 6 · Fulham: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Fulham's level
FULHAM GOALS
Fulham Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.15
FUL 6 of 8 (75%) · CRY 5 of 6 (83%)76%
Fulham scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 4 of 6 · Fulham: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Fulham's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.20
FUL 6 of 8 (75%) · CRY 5 of 6 (83%)84.4%
Fulham: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Fulham: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Fulham's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.9%
Fulham goals →
Crystal Palace goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-07%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-41.0%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10
FULHAMLWLLDWDLWW1.40 PPG
CRYSTAL PALACEWWLWDWLLDL1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FULHAM HOMExCRYSTAL PALACE AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.901.20CONCEDED A GAME1.8040%CLEAN SHEETS30%25%FAILED TO SCORE50%5.88CORNERS A GAME4.752.12CARDS A GAME2.001.46xG1.241.25xG AGAINST1.73
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.00POINTS A GAME0.88-0.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.25+0.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.91.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.88LEAGUE GAMES8
Fulham: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
70%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
53%
NO · 85/90
FULHAM OR DRAW
63%
NO · 80/85
CRYSTAL PALACE OR DRAW
63%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FULHAMxCRYSTAL PALACE
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.000.60CONCEDED A GAME2.201.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.240%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE40%3.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.411.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
FULHAM 1 · 11%DRAW 4CRYSTAL PALACE 4 · 44%
5 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
8 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-05-20Fulham 2 – 2 Crystal Palace
2023-09-23Fulham 0 – 0 Crystal Palace
2024-04-27Fulham 1 – 1 Crystal Palace
2024-11-09Fulham 2 – 0 Crystal Palace
2025-02-22Fulham 0 – 2 Crystal Palace
2025-03-29Fulham 0 – 3 Crystal Palace
2025-12-07Fulham 1 – 2 Crystal Palace
2026-01-01Fulham 1 – 1 Crystal Palace
TRENDS
Fulham have scored in 80% of their games.
Crystal Palace have scored in 70% of their games.
Fulham kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Crystal Palace kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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