Match details. EFL Cup, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Craven Cottage, London. The referee is Simon Hooper.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Fulham have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. In this competition Fulham have gone W W. Crystal Palace have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. In this competition Crystal Palace have gone W.
The numbers. Fulham score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Fulham average 14.1 shots (4.5 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Crystal Palace score 1.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Crystal Palace average 11.8 shots (4.1 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Fulham have won one, drawn four and lost four. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, one was drawn and Crystal Palace won three. The last time they met, on 5 Sep 2026, it finished Fulham 2-3 Crystal Palace: Fulham had 25 shots to 10, 64% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Crystal Palace's record still gives them 48% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Fulham or the draw. Both teams' records favour Crystal Palace; the meetings favour Crystal Palace.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Fulham 1-1 Crystal Palace (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).