Paderborn vs Stuttgart

Match details. DFB Pokal, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn. The referee is Florian Badstubner.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Paderborn have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L. In this competition Paderborn have gone W. Stuttgart have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W.

The numbers. Paderborn score 1.2 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. Paderborn average 15.2 shots (4.2 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Stuttgart score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Stuttgart average 17.0 shots (5.5 on target), 6.8 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 60% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Paderborn have won none, drawn one and lost three. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 10 Oct 2026, it finished Paderborn 0-2 Stuttgart: Paderborn had 24 shots to 18, 52% of the ball, one yellow card.

The case against. A knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Stuttgart are not clearly stronger. Paderborn's record still gives them 35% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.

The read. Stuttgart or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Stuttgart the likelier winners; the meetings favour Stuttgart.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Paderborn 1-2 Stuttgart (9% chance).