Freiburg vs Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg scored in 4 of 5 away · Freiburg conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 4 of 6 · Freiburg: only games against sides at Wolfsburg's level
Match details. DFB Pokal, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg. The referee is Soren Storks.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Freiburg have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. Wolfsburg have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W L.
The numbers. Freiburg score 3.2 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Freiburg average 16.1 shots (5.1 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Wolfsburg score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Wolfsburg average 18.5 shots (7.1 on target), 6.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Freiburg have won six, drawn one and lost two. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Freiburg won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished Freiburg 1-1 Wolfsburg: Freiburg had 11 shots to 13, 63% of the ball, two yellow cards.
The case against. Wolfsburg's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Freiburg to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Freiburg the likelier winners; the meetings favour Freiburg. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%. Five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Freiburg or Draw at 1.22, 80% on the records (Freiburg unbeaten in 5 of 7; Wolfsburg failed to win 3 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Freiburg are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Freiburg are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Freiburg 2-1 Wolfsburg (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).