Dynamo Dresden vs Schalke
Match details. DFB Pokal, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Rudolf-Harbig Stadion, Dresden. The referee is Wolfgang Haslberger.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Dynamo Dresden have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L D. In this competition Dynamo Dresden have gone W. Schalke have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D W.
The numbers. Dynamo Dresden score 1.7 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Dynamo Dresden average 13.8 shots (5.0 on target), 7.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. Schalke score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Schalke average 10.4 shots (3.2 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Dynamo Dresden have won one, drawn one and lost three. Four of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, one was drawn and Schalke won three. The last time they met, on 7 Feb 2026, it finished Dynamo Dresden 2-2 Schalke: Dynamo Dresden had 9 shots to 16, 56% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their xG points to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%; four of the last five meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Dynamo Dresden's record still gives them 33% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their xG points to a tight game.
The read. Schalke or the draw. An open game. The meetings favour Schalke. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%. Four of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Schalke Over 0.5 goals (Schalke's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Dynamo Dresden 1-2 Schalke (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).