Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. Young Africans SC are 2nd on 19 points after 8 games, 5 points behind Simba, 2 points clear of Azam. Mashujaa FC are 8th on 12 points after 8 games, level on points with Namungo, 1 point clear of Singida Black Stars. A win would take them above Namungo.
Form. Young Africans SC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W. Mashujaa FC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W.
The numbers. Young Africans SC score 2.1 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. Young Africans SC average 11.9 shots (5.2 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.1 cards a game. Mashujaa FC score 1.1 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Mashujaa FC average 8.1 shots (3.0 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Head to head. Young Africans SC have won all of the last six meetings. Four of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Young Africans SC won four. The last time they met, on 13 Jun 2026, it finished Young Africans SC 2-0 Mashujaa FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; four of the last six meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Mashujaa FC's record still gives them 25% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The read. Young Africans SC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Young Africans SC the likelier winners; Young Africans SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Young Africans SC; the meetings favour Young Africans SC. Four of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Young Africans SC are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 1.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (Young Africans SC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Young Africans SC 2-1 Mashujaa FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).