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ROMANIA - ROMANIA CUP
AFC Progresul 1944 Spartac crestAPAFC
16:00Tue 27 Oct
FCPFC Petrolul Ploiesti crestFP

AFC Progresul 1944 Spartac vs FC Petrolul Ploiesti

CLASS B
THE READ

Match details. Romania Cup, Group Stage. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadionul Progresul Spartac, București.

Form. AFC Progresul 1944 Spartac have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W. FC Petrolul Ploiesti have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W D. In this competition FC Petrolul Ploiesti have gone L.

The numbers. AFC Progresul 1944 Spartac score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AFC Progresul 1944 Spartac average 8.3 shots (3.1 on target), 4.3 corners and 0.7 cards a game. FC Petrolul Ploiesti score 1.8 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. FC Petrolul Ploiesti average 12.7 shots (5.1 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 90% against the records' 61%.

The read. No firm call: FC Petrolul Ploiesti are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Petrolul Ploiesti the likelier winners; FC Petrolul Ploiesti are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Petrolul Ploiesti. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: AFC Progresul 1944 Spartac 1-2 FC Petrolul Ploiesti (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AFC 5 of 6 (83%) · FCP 6 of 6 (100%)92.8%
AFC Progresul 1944 Spartac: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · FC Petrolul Ploiesti: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95%
FC PETROLUL PLOIESTI GOALS
FC Petrolul Ploiesti Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AFC 5 of 6 (83%) · FCP 5 of 6 (83%)83.9%
FC Petrolul Ploiesti scored in 5 of 6 away · AFC Progresul 1944 Spartac conceded in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 85%
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 9.4%
AFC Progresul 1944… goals →
FC Petrolul Ploiesti goals ↓
0-05%
1-05%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.6%
5-00.1%
0-17%
1-111%
2-17%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.2%
0-34%
1-36%
2-34%
3-32%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-43%
2-42%
3-40.7%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.7%
1-50.9%
2-50.6%
3-50.3%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
AFC PROGRESUL 1944 SPARTACLLLLLWLLLD0.40 PPG
FC PETROLUL PLOIESTIWLWLWDWLDW1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AFC PROGRESUL 1944 SPARTAC HOMExFC PETROLUL PLOIESTI AWAY
0.70SCORED A GAME1.601.70CONCEDED A GAME1.3010%CLEAN SHEETS20%0%FAILED TO SCORE23%4.29CORNERS A GAME3.290.71CARDS A GAME2.29
TRENDS
AFC Progresul 1944 Spartac have scored in 50% of their games.
FC Petrolul Ploiesti have scored in 80% of their games.
AFC Progresul 1944 Spartac kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
FC Petrolul Ploiesti kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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