SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Augsburg
Match details. DFB Pokal, Round of 32. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at comtech Arena, Aspache. The referee is Patrick Schwengers.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L L. Augsburg have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L D. In this competition Augsburg have gone W.
The numbers. SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach average 14.0 shots (4.6 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Augsburg score 2.2 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Augsburg average 18.0 shots (6.8 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
The case against. SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. Augsburg to win. An open game. Augsburg are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. Best bet: Augsburg Over 1.5 Goals at 1.31, 73% on the records (Augsburg scored over 1.5 in 4 of 5 away; SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach conceded over 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Augsburg are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Augsburg are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1-2 Augsburg (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).