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ALBANIA - KATEGORIA SUPERIORE
Af Elbasani crestAEAFE
18:30Wed 28 Oct
PARPartizani Tirana crestPT

Af Elbasani vs Partizani Tirana

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Kategoria Superiore. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time.

Form. Af Elbasani have won one, drawn seven and lost two of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D W. Partizani Tirana have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.

The numbers. Af Elbasani score one and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Af Elbasani average 10.2 shots (2.8 on target), 2.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Partizani Tirana score 1.1 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Partizani Tirana average 11.1 shots (4.1 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.6 cards a game.

The case against. Partizani Tirana's record still gives them 31% to win.

The read. Af Elbasani to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Af Elbasani the likelier winners; Af Elbasani are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Af Elbasani or Both Teams Score (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (Af Elbasani are a clear winner, no Unders); Af Elbasani 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Af Elbasani 2-1 Partizani Tirana (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Af Elbasani or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AFE 6 of 6 (100%) · PAR 7 of 7 (100%)100%
Af Elbasani: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Partizani Tirana: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Af Elbasani: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at Af Elbasani's level
Af Elbasani or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
AFE 5 of 5 (100%) · PAR 5 of 5 (100%)93.5%
Af Elbasani scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Partizani Tirana trailed or failed to win in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Af Elbasani: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at Af Elbasani's level
Af Elbasani or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.31
AFE 4 of 6 (67%) · PAR 7 of 7 (100%)83.3%
Af Elbasani: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Partizani Tirana: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Af Elbasani: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at Af Elbasani's level
Af Elbasani to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.65
AFE 1 of 6 (17%) · PAR 5 of 7 (71%)68.2%
Af Elbasani won 1 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Partizani Tirana lost 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 44% · Af Elbasani: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at Af Elbasani's level
AF ELBASANI GOALS
Af Elbasani Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.16
AFE 6 of 6 (100%) · PAR 7 of 7 (100%)87.4%
Af Elbasani scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Partizani Tirana conceded in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Af Elbasani: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at Af Elbasani's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.37
AFE 5 of 6 (83%) · PAR 6 of 7 (86%)84.5%
Af Elbasani: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Partizani Tirana: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · Af Elbasani: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at Af Elbasani's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AFE 4 of 5 (80%) · PAR 5 of 7 (71%)84.7%
Af Elbasani's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Partizani Tirana's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Af Elbasani: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at Af Elbasani's level
Left off the list: Af Elbasani or Both Teams Score (the numbers (80%) and the records (100%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (Af Elbasani are a clear winner - no Unders); Af Elbasani 1UP (the numbers (64%) and the records (90%) are 27 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (Af Elbasani are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.5%
Af Elbasani goals →
Partizani Tirana goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
AF ELBASANIDLDDWLDDDD1.00 PPG
PARTIZANI TIRANALLLLLWLDWL0.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AF ELBASANI HOMExPARTIZANI TIRANA AWAY
1.12SCORED A GAME1.121.25CONCEDED A GAME2.3820%CLEAN SHEETS10%2.57CORNERS A GAME5.712.11CARDS A GAME2.56
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.00POINTS A GAME0.43-0.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.43-4.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.21.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.07LEAGUE GAMES7
Af Elbasani: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
76%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
87%
OKAY · 85/90
AF ELBASANI OR DRAW
81%
OKAY · 80/85
PARTIZANI TIRANA OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AF ELBASANIxPARTIZANI TIRANA
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.001.20CONCEDED A GAME3.002.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Af Elbasani have scored in 80% of their games.
Partizani Tirana have scored in 70% of their games.
Af Elbasani kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Partizani Tirana kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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