Match details. Primera Nacional. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 22:00 Lagos time.
Form. Colon de Santa Fe have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W D. CA Defensores de Belgrano have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D L.
The numbers. Colon de Santa Fe score 1.1 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. Colon de Santa Fe average 4.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game. CA Defensores de Belgrano score 0.9 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. CA Defensores de Belgrano average 4.6 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 60% against the records' 35%.
The read. No firm call: Colon de Santa Fe are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Colon de Santa Fe the likelier winners; Colon de Santa Fe are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.11, 75% on the records (Colon de Santa Fe: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; CA Defensores de Belgrano: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: Colon de Santa Fe Over 0.5 Goals at 1.26. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Colon de Santa Fe 1-1 CA Defensores de Belgrano (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).