JS Kairouanaise vs EGS Gafsa
Match details. Ligue 2, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. JS Kairouanaise are 17th on 6 points after 4 games, level on points with Sfax Railways, 1 point clear of Ariana. A win would take them above Sfax Railways. EGS Gafsa are 24th on 3 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Kerkennah, level on points with AS Agareb. A win would take them above Kerkennah.
Form. JS Kairouanaise have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D. EGS Gafsa have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.
The numbers. JS Kairouanaise score 0.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. JS Kairouanaise average 0.7 shots (0.0 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.3 cards a game. EGS Gafsa score 1.2 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. EGS Gafsa average 1.3 shots (1.0 on target), 2.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings JS Kairouanaise have won five, drawn three and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, JS Kairouanaise won two, one was drawn and EGS Gafsa won one. The last time they met, on 14 Apr 2022, it finished JS Kairouanaise 4-4 EGS Gafsa.
The case against. EGS Gafsa's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. JS Kairouanaise to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make JS Kairouanaise the likelier winners; JS Kairouanaise are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour JS Kairouanaise. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: JS Kairouanaise or Draw at 1.11, 75% on the records (JS Kairouanaise unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home; EGS Gafsa failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.26. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: JS Kairouanaise 1-0 EGS Gafsa (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).