Match details. Ligue 2. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. AS Ariana have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D D. AS Kasserine have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L.
The numbers. AS Ariana score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. AS Ariana average 11.0 shots (3.2 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game. AS Kasserine score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AS Kasserine or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); AS Kasserine Over 0.5 Goals (AS Kasserine's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AS Ariana 1-1 AS Kasserine (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).