Jong PSV Eindhoven vs NAC Breda
Match details. Eerste Divisie. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. Jong PSV Eindhoven have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L D. NAC Breda have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D.
The numbers. Jong PSV Eindhoven score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Jong PSV Eindhoven average 5.0 corners and 0.9 cards a game. NAC Breda score 2.2 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. NAC Breda average 6.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. Jong PSV Eindhoven's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. NAC Breda to win. An open game. NAC Breda are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.09, 82% on the records (Jong PSV Eindhoven: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; NAC Breda: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Jong PSV Eindhoven Over 0.5 Goals at 1.31. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Jong PSV Eindhoven Under 1.5 goals (NAC Breda's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); NAC Breda Over 1.5 goals (Jong PSV Eindhoven's own games don't back it (0 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (NAC Breda are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Jong PSV Eindhoven 1-2 NAC Breda (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).