Match details. Parva Liga, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Arena Arda, Kerdjali.
What's at stake. FC Arda Kardzhali are 6th on 18 points after 12 games, 4 points behind Botev Plovdiv, 5 points clear of Slavia Sofia. FK Septemvri Sofia are 14th on 8 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Cherno More Varna. A win would take them above Cherno More Varna.
Form. FC Arda Kardzhali have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L. FK Septemvri Sofia have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L.
The numbers. FC Arda Kardzhali score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Arda Kardzhali average 3.2 corners and 2.9 cards a game. FK Septemvri Sofia score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. FK Septemvri Sofia average 10.3 shots (4.0 on target), 3.9 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings FC Arda Kardzhali have won five, drawn one and lost one. Four of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, FC Arda Kardzhali won two, one was drawn and FK Septemvri Sofia won one. The last time they met, on 18 Jul 2026, it finished FC Arda Kardzhali 1-1 FK Septemvri Sofia: FC Arda Kardzhali had 6 shots to 12, 41% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%; four of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. FK Septemvri Sofia's record still gives them 22% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: four of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The read. FC Arda Kardzhali to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC Arda Kardzhali the likelier winners; FC Arda Kardzhali are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Arda Kardzhali; the meetings favour FC Arda Kardzhali. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The bets. Best bet: FC Arda Kardzhali or Draw at 1.16, 76% on the records (FC Arda Kardzhali unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; FK Septemvri Sofia failed to win 7 of 9). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (FC Arda Kardzhali are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (FC Arda Kardzhali are a clear winner, no Unders); FC Arda Kardzhali or draw and under 3.5 goals (FC Arda Kardzhali are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FC Arda Kardzhali 1-0 FK Septemvri Sofia (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).