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BULGARIA - PARVA LIGA
FC Arda Kardzhali crestFAFCA
18:30Mon 2 Nov
FKSFK Septemvri Sofia crestFS

FC Arda Kardzhali vs FK Septemvri Sofia

CLASS D
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
85
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class D
FC Arda Kardzhali crestFAvFK Septemvri Sofia crestFS
Double Chance: FC Arda Kardzhali or…
FC Arda Kardzhali v FK Septemvri Sofia
Bulgaria - Parva Liga · 18:30
1.17odds
85%book
0edge
2/2angles
THE READ

Match details. Parva Liga, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Arena Arda, Kerdjali.

What's at stake. FC Arda Kardzhali are 6th on 18 points after 12 games, 4 points behind Botev Plovdiv, 5 points clear of Slavia Sofia. FK Septemvri Sofia are 14th on 8 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Cherno More Varna. A win would take them above Cherno More Varna.

Form. FC Arda Kardzhali have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L. FK Septemvri Sofia have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L.

The numbers. FC Arda Kardzhali score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Arda Kardzhali average 3.2 corners and 2.9 cards a game. FK Septemvri Sofia score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. FK Septemvri Sofia average 10.3 shots (4.0 on target), 3.9 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last seven meetings FC Arda Kardzhali have won five, drawn one and lost one. Four of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, FC Arda Kardzhali won two, one was drawn and FK Septemvri Sofia won one. The last time they met, on 18 Jul 2026, it finished FC Arda Kardzhali 1-1 FK Septemvri Sofia: FC Arda Kardzhali had 6 shots to 12, 41% of the ball, five yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%; four of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. FK Septemvri Sofia's record still gives them 22% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: four of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.

The read. FC Arda Kardzhali to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC Arda Kardzhali the likelier winners; FC Arda Kardzhali are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Arda Kardzhali; the meetings favour FC Arda Kardzhali. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.

The bets. Best bet: FC Arda Kardzhali or Draw at 1.16, 76% on the records (FC Arda Kardzhali unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; FK Septemvri Sofia failed to win 7 of 9). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (FC Arda Kardzhali are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (FC Arda Kardzhali are a clear winner, no Unders); FC Arda Kardzhali or draw and under 3.5 goals (FC Arda Kardzhali are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FC Arda Kardzhali 1-0 FK Septemvri Sofia (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
FC Arda Kardzhali or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.09
FCA 4 of 5 (80%) · FKS 9 of 9 (100%)88%
FC Arda Kardzhali: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · FK Septemvri Sofia: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · FC Arda Kardzhali: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at FC Arda Kardzhali's level
Double Chance: FC Arda Kardzhali or DrawMAININ CODES
1.17
FCA 4 of 5 (80%) · FKS 7 of 9 (78%)85.1%
FC Arda Kardzhali unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · FK Septemvri Sofia failed to win 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Arda Kardzhali: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at FC Arda Kardzhali's level
FC Arda Kardzhali (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.25
FCA 4 of 7 (57%) · FKS 6 of 8 (75%)84%
FC Arda Kardzhali won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · FK Septemvri Sofia lost 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 66% · H2H 4 of 5 · FC Arda Kardzhali: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at FC Arda Kardzhali's level · won 4, refunded 4, lost 2
FC Arda Kardzhali or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.14
FCA 4 of 5 (80%) · FKS 4 of 5 (80%)79.3%
FC Arda Kardzhali scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · FK Septemvri Sofia trailed or failed to win in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Arda Kardzhali: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at FC Arda Kardzhali's level
FC Arda Kardzhali 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.37
FCA 3 of 5 (60%) · FKS 3 of 5 (60%)76.7%
FC Arda Kardzhali scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 at home · FK Septemvri Sofia trailed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Arda Kardzhali: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at FC Arda Kardzhali's level
FC Arda Kardzhali to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.37
FCA 4 of 5 (80%) · FKS 6 of 9 (67%)74.2%
FC Arda Kardzhali: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · FK Septemvri Sofia: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · FC Arda Kardzhali: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at FC Arda Kardzhali's level
FC Arda Kardzhali to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.62
FCA 2 of 5 (40%) · FKS 6 of 9 (67%)69%
FC Arda Kardzhali won 2 of 5 at home · FK Septemvri Sofia lost 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 4 of 6 · FC Arda Kardzhali: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at FC Arda Kardzhali's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.42
81.3%
a proven pattern for games read like this one (over 1.5)
FC ARDA KARDZHALI GOALS
FC Arda Kardzhali Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.21
FCA 5 of 5 (100%) · FKS 7 of 9 (78%)87.9%
FC Arda Kardzhali scored in 5 of 5 at home · FK Septemvri Sofia conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Arda Kardzhali: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at FC Arda Kardzhali's level
FK SEPTEMVRI SOFIA GOALS
FK Septemvri Sofia Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.17
FCA 7 of 9 (78%) · FKS 4 of 5 (80%)75.9%
FK Septemvri Sofia scored under 1.5 in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Arda Kardzhali conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 72% · H2H 6 of 6 · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at FC Arda Kardzhali's level · FC Arda Kardzhali: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level
HALVES
1st Half - GG/NG: NoBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.12
FCA 5 of 5 (100%) · FKS 9 of 9 (100%)94.4%
FC Arda Kardzhali: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · FK Septemvri Sofia: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · FC Arda Kardzhali: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at FC Arda Kardzhali's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.34
FCA 3 of 5 (60%) · FKS 7 of 9 (78%)63.6%
FC Arda Kardzhali: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · FK Septemvri Sofia: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · FC Arda Kardzhali: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at FC Arda Kardzhali's level
Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (FC Arda Kardzhali are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (FC Arda Kardzhali are a clear winner - no Unders); FC Arda Kardzhali or draw and under 3.5 goals (FC Arda Kardzhali are a clear winner - no Unders); FC Arda Kardzhali win and under 3.5 goals (FC Arda Kardzhali are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (FC Arda Kardzhali are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 10.3%
FC Arda Kardzhali goals →
FK Septemvri Sofia goals ↓
0-07%
1-010%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
FC ARDA KARDZHALIDWLDLLWWWW1.70 PPG
FK SEPTEMVRI SOFIALDLLLLDWWL0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FC ARDA KARDZHALI HOMExFK SEPTEMVRI SOFIA AWAY
1.33SCORED A GAME0.831.50CONCEDED A GAME1.9230%CLEAN SHEETS20%8%FAILED TO SCORE33%3.17CORNERS A GAME3.922.88CARDS A GAME3.62
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
OVER 2.5 CARDS
–
258 OF 280
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.50POINTS A GAME0.56-0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.11-2.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.70.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.010LEAGUE GAMES9
FC Arda Kardzhali: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
67%
NO · 85/90
FC ARDA KARDZHALI OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
FK SEPTEMVRI SOFIA OR DRAW
55%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FC ARDA KARDZHALIxFK SEPTEMVRI SOFIA
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.002.80CONCEDED A GAME2.603.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE60%5.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.27.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 7
FC ARDA KARDZHALI 5 · 71%DRAW 1FK SEPTEMVRI SOFIA 1 · 14%
4 of 7BOTH TEAMS SCORED
5 of 7OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 7OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 7OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-08-01FC Arda Kardzhali 3 – 2 FK Septemvri Sofia
2023-02-12FC Arda Kardzhali 1 – 0 FK Septemvri Sofia
2024-10-25FC Arda Kardzhali 2 – 1 FK Septemvri Sofia
2025-04-07FC Arda Kardzhali 4 – 0 FK Septemvri Sofia
2025-10-20FC Arda Kardzhali 0 – 1 FK Septemvri Sofia
2026-03-21FC Arda Kardzhali 4 – 1 FK Septemvri Sofia
2026-07-18FC Arda Kardzhali 1 – 1 FK Septemvri Sofia
TRENDS
FC Arda Kardzhali have scored in 90% of their games.
FK Septemvri Sofia have scored in 70% of their games.
FC Arda Kardzhali kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
FK Septemvri Sofia kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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