Match details. Brasileiro Serie B. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 22:30 Lagos time.
Form. Cuiaba EC MT have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W. Sao Bernardo FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L W.
The numbers. Cuiaba EC MT score 0.9 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and six games without a goal. Cuiaba EC MT average 5.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Sao Bernardo FC score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Sao Bernardo FC average 5.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 22% against the records' 47%.
The read. No firm call: Sao Bernardo FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Sao Bernardo FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sao Bernardo FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, 75% on the records (Cuiaba EC MT: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10; Sao Bernardo FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Sao Bernardo FC or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.42. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Cuiaba EC MT 1-1 Sao Bernardo FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).