Kashima Antlers vs FC Pohang Steelers
Match details. AFC Champions League Elite. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. Kashima Antlers have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W. FC Pohang Steelers have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L W.
The numbers. Kashima Antlers score 2.7 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Kashima Antlers average 11.5 shots (4.8 on target), 2.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. FC Pohang Steelers score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. FC Pohang Steelers average 8.4 shots (3.8 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 76% against the records' 54%.
The read. No firm call: Kashima Antlers are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Kashima Antlers the likelier winners; Kashima Antlers are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kashima Antlers. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 78% on the records (Kashima Antlers: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; FC Pohang Steelers: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Full cover: FC Pohang Steelers Under 1.5 Goals at 1.18. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Kashima Antlers are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Kashima Antlers are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Kashima Antlers 2-1 FC Pohang Steelers (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).