INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE ELITE

GOGAM

11:00Wed 28 Oct

BUR

Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. AFC Champions League Elite. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.

Form. Gamba Osaka have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W L. Buriram United have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D.

The numbers. Gamba Osaka score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Gamba Osaka average 11.6 shots (5.1 on target), 2.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Buriram United score 1.2 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Buriram United average 13.7 shots (4.7 on target), 1.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 59% against the records' 30%.

The read. No firm call: Gamba Osaka are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Gamba Osaka the likelier winners; Gamba Osaka are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Gamba Osaka 1-1 Buriram United (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.18

GAM 3 of 5 (60%) · BUR 8 of 10 (80%)92.1%

Gamba Osaka: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Buriram United: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

BURIRAM UNITED GOALS

Buriram United Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 71%

1.40

GAM 7 of 10 (70%) · BUR 4 of 5 (80%)46.8%

Buriram United scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Gamba Osaka conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.27

GAM 4 of 5 (80%) · BUR 7 of 10 (70%)75%

Gamba Osaka: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Buriram United: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13%

Gamba Osaka goals →

Buriram United goals ↓

0-09%

1-012%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.7%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

GAMBA OSAKADWDWLDWLWL1.50 PPG

BURIRAM UNITEDLWLWDWDDWD1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

GAMBA OSAKA HOMExBURIRAM UNITED AWAY

2.10SCORED A GAME1.201.50CONCEDED A GAME0.9010%CLEAN SHEETS40%2.33CORNERS A GAME1.501.70CARDS A GAME2.50

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME2.17-0.45GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.67-0.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+7.21.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.011LEAGUE GAMES6

Buriram United: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

BURIRAM UNITED 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

74%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

51%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

83%

NO · 85/90

GAMBA OSAKA OR DRAW

42%

NO · 80/85

BURIRAM UNITED OR DRAW

82%

OKAY · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

GAMBA OSAKAxBURIRAM UNITED

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.601.60CONCEDED A GAME1.202.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE60%3.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.08.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Gamba Osaka have scored in 70% of their games.

Buriram United have scored in 70% of their games.

Gamba Osaka kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Buriram United kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards