Match details. CONCACAF Central American Cup, Final. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 03:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Cuscatlan, San Salvador.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Alianza FC San Salvador have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D L. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D L.
The numbers. Alianza FC San Salvador score 1.9 and concede 1.4 a game in their last seven at home, with one clean sheet. Alianza FC San Salvador average 10.1 shots (3.6 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.2 cards a game. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula average 13.4 shots (5.1 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Alianza FC San Salvador have won one, drawn none and lost two. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 21 Oct 2026, it finished Alianza FC San Salvador 1-2 CD Marathon San Pedro Sula.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Alianza FC San Salvador the likelier winners, but CD Marathon San Pedro Sula are the stronger side on form and the table. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%; two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CD Marathon San Pedro Sula or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); CD Marathon San Pedro Sula 1UP (the call is a draw); CD Marathon San Pedro Sula (Draw No Bet) (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Alianza FC San Salvador 1-1 CD Marathon San Pedro Sula (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).