Match details. Serie B. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD El Nacional have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. Gualaceo SC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W W.
The numbers. CD El Nacional score 1.3 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. CD El Nacional average 4.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Gualaceo SC score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and three games without a goal. Gualaceo SC average 4.1 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The read. Gualaceo SC to win. An open game. Gualaceo SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Gualaceo SC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Gualaceo SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CD El Nacional 1-2 Gualaceo SC (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Double Chance: Draw or Gualaceo SCLEANPAGE ONLY
1.19
CDE 9 of 9 (100%) · GUA 7 of 9 (78%)68.6%
Gualaceo SC unbeaten in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD El Nacional failed to win 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Gualaceo SC: only games against sides at CD El Nacional's level · CD El Nacional: only games against sides at Gualaceo SC's level
Gualaceo SC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.30
CDE 5 of 5 (100%) · GUA 7 of 9 (78%)63.3%
Gualaceo SC won 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · CD El Nacional lost 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 89% · Gualaceo SC: only games against sides at CD El Nacional's level · CD El Nacional: only games against sides at Gualaceo SC's level · won 6, refunded 1, lost 1
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 9 of 9 (100%) · GUA 7 of 9 (78%)87.7%
CD El Nacional: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Gualaceo SC: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · CD El Nacional: only games against sides at Gualaceo SC's level · Gualaceo SC: only games against sides at CD El Nacional's level
GUALACEO SC GOALS
Gualaceo SC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 7 of 9 (78%) · GUA 8 of 9 (89%)72.1%
Gualaceo SC scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD El Nacional conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Gualaceo SC: only games against sides at CD El Nacional's level · CD El Nacional: only games against sides at Gualaceo SC's level
Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Gualaceo SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–28.4%
CD El Nacional goals →
Gualaceo SC goals ↓
0-07%
1-08%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.2%
0-18%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.9%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
CD EL NACIONALLLWLLLWLLD0.70 PPG
GUALACEO SCDDDWWLDWWW1.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD EL NACIONAL HOMExGUALACEO SC AWAY
0.87SCORED A GAME1.061.61CONCEDED A GAME0.6550%BOTH SCORED30%10%CLEAN SHEETS60%4.15CORNERS A GAME4.102.19CARDS A GAME2.40
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
CD EL NACIONAL 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.85POINTS A GAME1.58-0.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.58–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.813LEAGUE GAMES12
Gualaceo SC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
67%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
65%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
83%
NO · 85/90
CD EL NACIONAL OR DRAW
36%
NO · 80/85
GUALACEO SC OR DRAW
84%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD EL NACIONALxGUALACEO SC
6GAMES60.50SCORED A GAME1.171.17CONCEDED A GAME0.501.7GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.750%OVER 1.5 GOALS50%33%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%0%BOTH SCORE33%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CD El Nacional have scored in 60% of their games.
Gualaceo SC have scored in 70% of their games.
CD El Nacional kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Gualaceo SC kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards