AJACJ

20:45Tue 27 Oct

SPT

AC Juvenes/Dogana vs SP Tre Penne

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Coppa Titano, Round of 16. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at San Marino Stadium, Serravalle.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. AC Juvenes/Dogana have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition AC Juvenes/Dogana have gone L. SP Tre Penne have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition SP Tre Penne have gone W.

The numbers. AC Juvenes/Dogana score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AC Juvenes/Dogana average 11.0 shots (4.4 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game. SP Tre Penne score 1.7 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. SP Tre Penne average 10.3 shots (4.0 on target), 5.3 corners and 4.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings AC Juvenes/Dogana have won two, drawn two and lost six. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, AC Juvenes/Dogana won one and SP Tre Penne won three. The last time they met, on 20 Sep 2026, it finished AC Juvenes/Dogana 0-2 SP Tre Penne.

The case against. A knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and SP Tre Penne are not clearly stronger.

The read. SP Tre Penne or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make SP Tre Penne the likelier winners; SP Tre Penne are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SP Tre Penne; the meetings favour SP Tre Penne.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AC Juvenes/Dogana 1-1 SP Tre Penne (13% chance).

The agreed story. SP Tre Penne or the draw, a tight game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

SP Tre Penne or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPT 4 of 5 (80%) · ACJ 5 of 6 (83%)83.4%

SP Tre Penne scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AC Juvenes/Dogana trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues)

SP Tre Penne or Under 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPT 9 of 9 (100%) · ACJ 4 of 5 (80%)82%

SP Tre Penne: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Juvenes/Dogana: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at AC Juvenes/Dogana's level · AC Juvenes/Dogana: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level · the call is SP Tre Penne or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and SP Tre Penne

SP Tre Penne (Draw No Bet)IN CODES

1.33

SPT 6 of 7 (86%) · ACJ 6 of 7 (86%)65%

SP Tre Penne won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · AC Juvenes/Dogana lost 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 3 of 4 · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at AC Juvenes/Dogana's level · AC Juvenes/Dogana: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level · won 6, refunded 2, lost 1

SP Tre Penne 1UPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPT 4 of 5 (80%) · ACJ 4 of 6 (67%)53.6%

SP Tre Penne scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AC Juvenes/Dogana trailed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · the call is SP Tre Penne or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and SP Tre Penne are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

SP Tre Penne to WinTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.77

SPT 6 of 9 (67%) · ACJ 3 of 5 (60%)48.5%

SP Tre Penne won 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Juvenes/Dogana lost 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 67% · H2H 3 of 6 · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at AC Juvenes/Dogana's level · AC Juvenes/Dogana: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level · the call is SP Tre Penne or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and SP Tre Penne are not clearly stronger (rul

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACJ 5 of 5 (100%) · SPT 9 of 9 (100%)97%

AC Juvenes/Dogana: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · SP Tre Penne: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · AC Juvenes/Dogana: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at AC Juvenes/Dogana's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACJ 5 of 5 (100%) · SPT 8 of 9 (89%)95.8%

AC Juvenes/Dogana: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · SP Tre Penne: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · AC Juvenes/Dogana: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at AC Juvenes/Dogana's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACJ 4 of 5 (80%) · SPT 7 of 9 (78%)82.1%

AC Juvenes/Dogana: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · SP Tre Penne: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 5 of 6 · AC Juvenes/Dogana: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at AC Juvenes/Dogana's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACJ 5 of 5 (100%) · SPT 8 of 9 (89%)76.4%

AC Juvenes/Dogana: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · SP Tre Penne: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 6 of 6 · AC Juvenes/Dogana: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at AC Juvenes/Dogana's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.68

ACJ 3 of 5 (60%) · SPT 7 of 9 (78%)51.6%

AC Juvenes/Dogana: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · SP Tre Penne: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 4 of 6 · AC Juvenes/Dogana: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at AC Juvenes/Dogana's level

SP TRE PENNE GOALS

SP Tre Penne Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPT 7 of 9 (78%) · ACJ 4 of 5 (80%)61.7%

SP Tre Penne scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Juvenes/Dogana conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 78% · H2H 5 of 6 · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at AC Juvenes/Dogana's level · AC Juvenes/Dogana: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACJ 4 of 5 (80%) · SPT 7 of 9 (78%)77.9%

AC Juvenes/Dogana: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · SP Tre Penne: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · AC Juvenes/Dogana: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at AC Juvenes/Dogana's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.1%

AC Juvenes/Dogana goals →

SP Tre Penne goals ↓

0-010%

1-08%

2-04%

3-01%

4-00.2%

5-00.0%

0-113%

1-113%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.4%

5-10.1%

0-210%

1-29%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.0%

0-35%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.6%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-42%

1-42%

2-40.7%

3-40.2%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.5%

1-50.5%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

AC JUVENES/DOGANADDLWLLLLLL0.50 PPG

SP TRE PENNEDLWWWWWWWD2.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AC JUVENES/DOGANA HOMExSP TRE PENNE AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME1.701.30CONCEDED A GAME0.6020%CLEAN SHEETS50%50%FAILED TO SCORE17%4.20CORNERS A GAME5.333.00CARDS A GAME4.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

PRICE NOT KEPT

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.50POINTS A GAME2.67-0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.50–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.66LEAGUE GAMES6

SP Tre Penne: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

SP TRE PENNE 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

PRICE NOT KEPT

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

74%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

30%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

93%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AC JUVENES/DOGANA OR DRAW

24%

NO · 80/85

SP TRE PENNE OR DRAW

82%

OKAY · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AC JUVENES/DOGANAxSP TRE PENNE

5GAMES50.40SCORED A GAME1.601.60CONCEDED A GAME0.002.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%40%BOTH SCORE0%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

AC JUVENES/DOGANA 2 · 20%DRAW 2SP TRE PENNE 6 · 60%

7 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-04-28AC Juvenes/Dogana 0 – 3 SP Tre Penne

2024-05-01AC Juvenes/Dogana 4 – 2 SP Tre Penne

2025-01-11AC Juvenes/Dogana 1 – 2 SP Tre Penne

2025-04-26AC Juvenes/Dogana 2 – 4 SP Tre Penne

2025-11-01AC Juvenes/Dogana 1 – 1 SP Tre Penne

2025-11-26AC Juvenes/Dogana 1 – 1 SP Tre Penne

2025-12-10AC Juvenes/Dogana 1 – 0 SP Tre Penne

2026-02-28AC Juvenes/Dogana 1 – 3 SP Tre Penne

TRENDS

AC Juvenes/Dogana have scored in 50% of their games.

SP Tre Penne have scored in 80% of their games.

AC Juvenes/Dogana kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

SP Tre Penne kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards