Everton vs Newcastle

Match details. EFL Cup, Round of 16. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool. The referee is Farai Hallam.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Everton have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W. In this competition Everton have gone W W. Newcastle have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L. In this competition Newcastle have gone W W.

The numbers. Everton score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Everton average 13.6 shots (4.9 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Newcastle score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Newcastle average 13.5 shots (3.6 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Everton have won four, drawn two and lost three. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Everton won two, one was drawn and Newcastle won one. The last time they met, on 28 Feb 2026, it finished Everton 3-2 Newcastle: Everton had 9 shots to 17, 34% of the ball, five yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their xG points to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. Newcastle's record still gives them 28% to win.

The read. Everton or the draw. A draw is live. Everton are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. Best bet: Everton or Draw at 1.41, 72% on the records (Everton unbeaten in 6 of 8; Newcastle failed to win 5 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Everton 1-1 Newcastle (11% chance).