Match details. Romania Cup. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. CSM Corona Brasov have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. ACS Champions FC Arges have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D.
The numbers. CSM Corona Brasov score 4.3 and concede 0.5 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets. CSM Corona Brasov average 14.8 shots (9.5 on target), 6.5 corners and 0.2 cards a game. ACS Champions FC Arges score 0.5 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and six games without a goal. ACS Champions FC Arges average 11.6 shots (3.1 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 31% against the records' 76%.
The read. No firm call: CSM Corona Brasov are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make CSM Corona Brasov the likelier winners; CSM Corona Brasov are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CSM Corona Brasov. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CSM Corona Brasov 3-0 ACS Champions FC Arges (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).