Match details. Superliga, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Mladost, Lucani. The referee is Pavle Ilic.
What's at stake. FK Mladost Lucani are 7th on 18 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Cukaricki, 1 point clear of FK Partizan. A win would take them above Cukaricki. FK Radnik Surdulica are 9th on 17 points after 13 games, level on points with FK Partizan, 1 point clear of Novi Pazar. A win would take them above FK Partizan.
Form. FK Mladost Lucani have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W L. In this competition FK Mladost Lucani have gone D L D W L W. FK Radnik Surdulica have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D D. In this competition FK Radnik Surdulica have gone L W L D D D.
The numbers. FK Mladost Lucani score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. FK Mladost Lucani average 8.1 shots (2.5 on target), 2.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 38% of the ball. FK Radnik Surdulica score 1.5 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. FK Radnik Surdulica average 14.1 shots (4.9 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.4 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FK Mladost Lucani have won four, drawn four and lost two. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, FK Mladost Lucani won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 19 Jul 2026, it finished FK Mladost Lucani 1-1 FK Radnik Surdulica: FK Mladost Lucani had 5 shots to 25, 32% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. FK Radnik Surdulica are the form side, but the meetings favour FK Mladost Lucani: in the last ten meetings, FK Mladost Lucani won four, FK Radnik Surdulica won two and four were drawn.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%. Not everything agrees on goals: eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. A draw is live. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FK Mladost Lucani or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FK Mladost Lucani or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FK Mladost Lucani 2-1 FK Radnik Surdulica (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).