CF America vs Deportivo Toluca FC
Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 15. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 04:10 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Banorte, Mexico City, a neutral ground. The referee is Luis Enrique Santander Aguirre.
What's at stake. CF America are 1st on 28 points after 14 games, 1 point clear of Atlas. Deportivo Toluca FC are 5th on 23 points after 14 games, 3 points behind Guadalajara Chivas, 1 point clear of Leon. A win would take them level on points with Guadalajara Chivas.
Form. CF America have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W D. In this competition CF America have gone D L W W D W. Deportivo Toluca FC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L D. In this competition Deportivo Toluca FC have gone D D D L D L.
The numbers. CF America score 2.6 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. CF America average 19.6 shots (7.9 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Deportivo Toluca FC score 2.3 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Deportivo Toluca FC average 20.1 shots (6.2 on target), 8.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 59% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CF America have won five, drawn one and lost four. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, CF America won one and Deportivo Toluca FC won three. The last time they met, on 19 Apr 2026, it finished CF America 2-1 Deportivo Toluca FC: CF America had 13 shots to 15, 39% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 72% on the records (CF America: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10; Deportivo Toluca FC: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CF America or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Deportivo Toluca FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: CF America 2-1 Deportivo Toluca FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).