FHFCH

17:30Sat 31 Oct

FKK

FC Hegelmann Kaunas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. TOPLYGA. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time.

Form. FC Hegelmann Kaunas have won none, drawn four and lost six of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D L. FK Kauno Zalgiris have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W.

The numbers. FC Hegelmann Kaunas score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. FC Hegelmann Kaunas average 4.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game. FK Kauno Zalgiris score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. FK Kauno Zalgiris average 5.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game.

The read. FK Kauno Zalgiris to win. A tight game. FK Kauno Zalgiris are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Kauno Zalgiris. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FK Kauno Zalgiris or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 4.5 Goals (FK Kauno Zalgiris are a clear winner, no Unders); 1X2 - 2UP: FK Kauno Zalgiris (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: FC Hegelmann Kaunas 0-1 FK Kauno Zalgiris (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

FK Kauno Zalgiris (Draw No Bet)LEANHELD · the odds board 88%

1.13

FCH 5 of 6 (83%) · FKK 6 of 6 (100%)65.1%

FK Kauno Zalgiris won 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · FC Hegelmann Kaunas lost 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 92% · FK Kauno Zalgiris: only games against sides at FC Hegelmann Kaunas's level · FC Hegelmann Kaunas: only games against sides at FK Kauno Zalgiris's level · won 6, refunded 2, lost 2

FK Kauno Zalgiris to WinLEANHELD · the odds board 75%

1.34

FCH 5 of 7 (71%) · FKK 3 of 5 (60%)50.9%

FK Kauno Zalgiris won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Hegelmann Kaunas lost 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 66% · FK Kauno Zalgiris: only games against sides at FC Hegelmann Kaunas's level · FC Hegelmann Kaunas: only games against sides at FK Kauno Zalgiris's level

FC HEGELMANN KAUNAS GOALS

FC Hegelmann Kaunas Under 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY

1.16

FCH 4 of 5 (80%) · FKK 6 of 7 (86%)71.6%

FC Hegelmann Kaunas scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · FK Kauno Zalgiris conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · FC Hegelmann Kaunas: only games against sides at FK Kauno Zalgiris's level · FK Kauno Zalgiris: only games against sides at FC Hegelmann Kaunas's level

FK KAUNO ZALGIRIS GOALS

FK Kauno Zalgiris Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCH 6 of 7 (86%) · FKK 5 of 5 (100%)80.1%

FK Kauno Zalgiris scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Hegelmann Kaunas conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 88% · FK Kauno Zalgiris: only games against sides at FC Hegelmann Kaunas's level · FC Hegelmann Kaunas: only games against sides at FK Kauno Zalgiris's level

Left off the list: FK Kauno Zalgiris or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (FK Kauno Zalgiris are a clear winner - no Unders); 1X2 - 2UP: FK Kauno Zalgiris (the numbers (45%) and the records (64%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); 1st Half Result or Match Result: FK Kauno Zalgiris (the numbers (51%) and the records (84%) are 33 points apart, and nothing settles it); FK Kauno Zalgiris 1UP (the numbers (59%) and the records (89%) are 29 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); FK Kauno Zalgiris or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (FK Kauno Zalgiris are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9.8%

FC Hegelmann Kaunas goals →

FK Kauno Zalgiris goals ↓

0-08%

1-08%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.5%

5-00.1%

0-110%

1-113%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-42%

2-41.0%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.5%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC HEGELMANN KAUNASLLDDLDDLLL0.40 PPG

FK KAUNO ZALGIRISDLWLWWLWWW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC HEGELMANN KAUNAS HOMExFK KAUNO ZALGIRIS AWAY

1.03SCORED A GAME1.901.74CONCEDED A GAME0.6770%BOTH SCORED30%10%CLEAN SHEETS60%4.42CORNERS A GAME5.532.23CARDS A GAME2.13

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

DRAW OR FK KAUNO ZALGIRIS (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

65%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

45%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

88%

OKAY · 85/90

FC HEGELMANN KAUNAS OR DRAW

43%

NO · 80/85

FK KAUNO ZALGIRIS OR DRAW

80%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

FC Hegelmann Kaunas have scored in 70% of their games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris have scored in 80% of their games.

FC Hegelmann Kaunas kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards