Larne FC vs Portadown FC
Match details. Premiership, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Inver Park, Larne.
What's at stake. Larne FC are 3rd on 23 points after 11 games, 9 points behind Linfield, 3 points clear of Glentoran. Portadown FC are 11th on 8 points after 13 games, 6 points behind Limavady United, 2 points clear of Bangor.
Form. Larne FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L W. Portadown FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W.
The numbers. Larne FC score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Larne FC average 5.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Portadown FC score 0.9 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Portadown FC average 3.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Larne FC have won six, drawn one and lost three. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Larne FC won three and Portadown FC won one. The last time they met, on 12 Sep 2026, it finished Larne FC 2-0 Portadown FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 81% against the records' 55%.
The read. No firm call: Larne FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Larne FC the likelier winners; Larne FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Larne FC; the meetings favour Larne FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 77% on the records (Larne FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; Portadown FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9). The safer one: Portadown FC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.12 (78%). Full cover: Portadown FC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.12. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Larne FC Over 1.5 goals (Larne FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Larne FC 2-1 Portadown FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).