Match details. Py1. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 23:30 Lagos time.
Form. Libertad Asuncion have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L. Independiente Campo Grande have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D.
The numbers. Libertad Asuncion score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Libertad Asuncion average 10.3 shots (3.5 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Independiente Campo Grande score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Independiente Campo Grande average 9.7 shots (4.4 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Libertad Asuncion 1-2 Independiente Campo Grande (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.22
LIB 3 of 5 (60%) · IND 7 of 10 (70%)66.7%
Libertad Asuncion: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Independiente Campo Grande: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIB 5 of 5 (100%) · IND 7 of 10 (70%)85%
Libertad Asuncion's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 5 at home · Independiente Campo Grande's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–28.9%
Libertad Asuncion goals →
Independiente Campo… goals ↓
0-06%
1-07%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-18%
1-112%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-33%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.5%
2-50.4%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
LIBERTAD ASUNCIONLWWDDLWDLW1.50 PPG
INDEPENDIENTE CAMPO GRANDEDWWWLDWWLL1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LIBERTAD ASUNCION HOMExINDEPENDIENTE CAMPO GRANDE AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME1.801.20CONCEDED A GAME1.2020%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.40CORNERS A GAME3.702.50CARDS A GAME2.50
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.71POINTS A GAME1.24+0.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.06-0.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.81.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.214LEAGUE GAMES17
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
70%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
59%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 85/90
LIBERTAD ASUNCION OR DRAW
72%
NO · 80/85
INDEPENDIENTE CAMPO GRANDE OR DRAW
47%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 17 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LIBERTAD ASUNCIONxINDEPENDIENTE CAMPO GRANDE
8GAMES81.88SCORED A GAME2.251.00CONCEDED A GAME2.002.9GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.262%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS88%62%BOTH SCORE88%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Libertad Asuncion have scored in 70% of their games.
Independiente Campo Grande have scored in 80% of their games.
Libertad Asuncion kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Independiente Campo Grande kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards