Academia Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC
Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - Quadrangular - 2. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 22:30 Lagos time. It is played at Complejo Deportivo Socialista, Carabobo.
What's at stake. Academia Puerto Cabello are 2nd on 3 points after 1 game, 2 points clear of Metropolitanos FC. Caracas FC are 3rd on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with Portuguesa FC.
Form. Academia Puerto Cabello have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D. In this competition Academia Puerto Cabello have gone W D W W D L. Caracas FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L. In this competition Caracas FC have gone L W W D L L.
The numbers. Academia Puerto Cabello score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Academia Puerto Cabello average 12.5 shots (4.7 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Caracas FC score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Caracas FC average 10.1 shots (3.9 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Academia Puerto Cabello have won two, drawn five and lost two. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Academia Puerto Cabello won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 6 Aug 2026, it finished Academia Puerto Cabello 3-1 Caracas FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 61% against the records' 32%.
The read. No firm call: Academia Puerto Cabello are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Academia Puerto Cabello the likelier winners; Academia Puerto Cabello are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%. Seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.30, 74% on the records (Academia Puerto Cabello: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Caracas FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Academia Puerto Cabello 1-1 Caracas FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).