Lillestroem SK vs Sogndal Fotball
Match details. Lillestroem SK take on Sogndal Fotball at Åråsen Stadion, Kjeller in the NM Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is set for Wed 28 Oct at 18:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is a one-off game, with penalties to decide the winner if it is level.
Form. Lillestroem SK have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, averaging 1.7 points a game. Their last five read W L W D D, and they have gone W in this competition. Sogndal Fotball have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, picking up 0.9 points a game, with a recent run of W W D L L.
The numbers. Lillestroem SK score 1.6 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, keeping one clean sheet. They average 14.1 shots (4.6 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.4 cards a game with 47% of the ball. Sogndal Fotball score 1.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away with no clean sheets. They average 10.3 shots (3.4 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.8 cards.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Lillestroem SK have won five, drawn two and lost two. Four of those nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. Lillestroem SK won three of the last four with one drawn. They last met on 13 Sep 2025, when it finished Lillestroem SK 5-1 Sogndal Fotball.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree, with the odds board making it 90% against the records' 54%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game and their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%, though five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: Lillestroem SK are the better side, but not at this price. Lillestroem SK are the stronger side on form and the table. Both teams' records favour Lillestroem SK, and the head-to-head meetings favour them as well.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Lillestroem SK are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Lillestroem SK are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Lillestroem SK 1-1 Sogndal Fotball (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).