Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Anfield, Liverpool. The referee is Andrew Madley.
Form. Liverpool have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. Arsenal have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W.
The numbers. Liverpool score 1.7 and concede 1.3 a game in their last seven at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Liverpool average 14.5 shots (5.5 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Arsenal score 1.6 and concede 1.1 a game in their last seven away, with three clean sheets. Arsenal average 13.0 shots (4.6 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
The case against. Liverpool's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Arsenal or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Arsenal are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Arsenal. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Arsenal or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Arsenal 1UP (no side to back); Arsenal Over 0.5 goals (Liverpool's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Liverpool 1-1 Arsenal (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Arsenal or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.30
LIV 4 of 5 (80%) · ARS 4 of 5 (80%)73.3%
Arsenal scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Liverpool trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Arsenal: only games against sides at Liverpool's level · Liverpool: only games against sides at Arsenal's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.19
LIV 5 of 5 (100%) · ARS 5 of 5 (100%)93.5%
Liverpool: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Arsenal: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Liverpool: only games against sides at Arsenal's level · Arsenal: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
2.00
LIV 3 of 5 (60%) · ARS 3 of 5 (60%)55.4%
Liverpool: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Arsenal: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Liverpool: only games against sides at Arsenal's level · Arsenal: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
HALVES
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.49
LIV 4 of 5 (80%) · ARS 4 of 5 (80%)80%
Liverpool: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Arsenal: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Liverpool: only games against sides at Arsenal's level · Arsenal: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
Left off the list: Arsenal or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Arsenal 1UP (no side to back); Arsenal Over 0.5 goals (Liverpool's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Arsenal or draw and under 3.5 goals (the numbers (49%) and the records (60%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.1%
Liverpool goals →
Arsenal goals ↓
0-08%
1-08%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.9%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
LIVERPOOLDWWWWLWWDW2.30 PPG
ARSENALDWDWWWLWWW2.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LIVERPOOL HOMExARSENAL AWAY
1.38SCORED A GAME1.621.00CONCEDED A GAME0.6230%CLEAN SHEETS50%4.75CORNERS A GAME5.631.70CARDS A GAME1.22
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
LIVERPOOL 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.88POINTS A GAME2.62+0.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00+1.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.02.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.48LEAGUE GAMES8
Arsenal: the quality side - more points a game.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
51%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
LIVERPOOL OR DRAW
51%
NO · 80/85
ARSENAL OR DRAW
74%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LIVERPOOLxARSENAL
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.400.80CONCEDED A GAME0.801.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE20%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.69.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Liverpool have scored in 80% of their games.
Arsenal have scored in 90% of their games.
Liverpool kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Arsenal kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards