Match details. Primera Nacional. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. CSD Tristan Suarez have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D W. CD Maipu have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W.
The numbers. CSD Tristan Suarez score 0.6 and concede 0.3 a game over their last ten, with eight clean sheets and five games without a goal. CSD Tristan Suarez average 3.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game. CD Maipu score one and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Maipu average 4.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 62% against the records' 25%.
The read. No firm call: CSD Tristan Suarez are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CSD Tristan Suarez the likelier winners; CSD Tristan Suarez are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 15%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, 77% on the records (CSD Tristan Suarez: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10; CD Maipu: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CSD Tristan Suarez 1-1 CD Maipu (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CSD 10 of 10 (100%) · CDM 10 of 10 (100%)97.6%
CSD Tristan Suarez: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Maipu: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CSD Tristan Suarez: only games against sides at CD Maipu's level · CD Maipu: only games against sides at CSD Tristan Suarez's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.23
CSD 10 of 10 (100%) · CDM 8 of 10 (80%)85.7%
CSD Tristan Suarez: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Maipu: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · CSD Tristan Suarez: only games against sides at CD Maipu's level · CD Maipu: only games against sides at CSD Tristan Suarez's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.43
CSD 9 of 10 (90%) · CDM 8 of 10 (80%)60%
CSD Tristan Suarez: under 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Maipu: under 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · CSD Tristan Suarez: only games against sides at CD Maipu's level · CD Maipu: only games against sides at CSD Tristan Suarez's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.3%
CSD Tristan Suarez goals →
CD Maipu goals ↓
0-09%
1-012%
2-09%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.4%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.7%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CSD TRISTAN SUAREZDWDDWDDDWL1.50 PPG
CD MAIPUWLDWWDDDLW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CSD TRISTAN SUAREZ HOMExCD MAIPU AWAY
0.97SCORED A GAME1.230.46CONCEDED A GAME0.9780%CLEAN SHEETS40%3.94CORNERS A GAME4.412.29CARDS A GAME1.65
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
CD MAIPU 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.50POINTS A GAME1.44+0.30GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.22-0.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.91.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.010LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
29%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
12%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
100%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CSD TRISTAN SUAREZ OR DRAW
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
CD MAIPU OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CSD TRISTAN SUAREZxCD MAIPU
5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.200.20CONCEDED A GAME0.600.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.820%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%0%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%20%BOTH SCORE40%6.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.87.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CSD Tristan Suarez have scored in 50% of their games.
CD Maipu have scored in 70% of their games.
CSD Tristan Suarez kept a clean sheet in 80% of their games.
CD Maipu kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards