Match details. Primera Nacional. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. CA Atlanta have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. CA Ferrocarril Midland have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L.
The numbers. CA Atlanta score 1.1 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. CA Atlanta average 3.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game. CA Ferrocarril Midland score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Ferrocarril Midland average 4.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. CA Ferrocarril Midland's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The read. CA Atlanta to win. An open game. CA Atlanta are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Atlanta.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: 1X2 - 2UP: CA Atlanta (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CA Atlanta 2-1 CA Ferrocarril Midland (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CA Atlanta or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAA 8 of 10 (80%) · CAF 4 of 5 (80%)81.2%
CA Atlanta: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Ferrocarril Midland: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · CA Atlanta: only games against sides at CA Ferrocarril Midland's level · CA Ferrocarril Midland: only games against sides at CA Atlanta's level
Double Chance: CA Atlanta or DrawPAGE ONLY
1.10
CAA 7 of 10 (70%) · CAF 4 of 5 (80%)73.4%
CA Atlanta unbeaten in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Ferrocarril Midland failed to win 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · CA Atlanta: only games against sides at CA Ferrocarril Midland's level · CA Ferrocarril Midland: only games against sides at CA Atlanta's level
CA Atlanta or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY
1.18
CAA 7 of 10 (70%) · CAF 3 of 5 (60%)69.8%
CA Atlanta: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Ferrocarril Midland: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · CA Atlanta: only games against sides at CA Ferrocarril Midland's level · CA Ferrocarril Midland: only games against sides at CA Atlanta's level
CA Atlanta 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.32
CAA 4 of 5 (80%) · CAF 6 of 10 (60%)66.7%
CA Atlanta scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Ferrocarril Midland trailed in 3 of 5 away · CA Atlanta: only games against sides at CA Ferrocarril Midland's level · CA Ferrocarril Midland: only games against sides at CA Atlanta's level
CA Atlanta or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.33
CAA 7 of 10 (70%) · CAF 3 of 5 (60%)59.4%
CA Atlanta: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Ferrocarril Midland: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · CA Atlanta: only games against sides at CA Ferrocarril Midland's level · CA Ferrocarril Midland: only games against sides at CA Atlanta's level
CA Atlanta or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.56
CAA 3 of 10 (30%) · CAF 3 of 5 (60%)56.2%
CA Atlanta: the bet landed in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Ferrocarril Midland: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 30% · CA Atlanta: only games against sides at CA Ferrocarril Midland's level · CA Ferrocarril Midland: only games against sides at CA Atlanta's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.09
CAA 9 of 10 (90%) · CAF 4 of 5 (80%)94.6%
CA Atlanta: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Ferrocarril Midland: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · CA Atlanta: only games against sides at CA Ferrocarril Midland's level · CA Ferrocarril Midland: only games against sides at CA Atlanta's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.48
CAA 5 of 10 (50%) · CAF 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%
CA Atlanta: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Ferrocarril Midland: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · CA Atlanta: only games against sides at CA Ferrocarril Midland's level · CA Ferrocarril Midland: only games against sides at CA Atlanta's level
CA ATLANTA GOALS
CA Atlanta Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.20
CAA 7 of 10 (70%) · CAF 3 of 5 (60%)77.4%
CA Atlanta scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Ferrocarril Midland conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · CA Atlanta: only games against sides at CA Ferrocarril Midland's level · CA Ferrocarril Midland: only games against sides at CA Atlanta's level
Left off the list: 1X2 - 2UP: CA Atlanta (the numbers (41%) and the records (67%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–18.5%
CA Atlanta goals →
CA Ferrocarril Midland goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
CA ATLANTAWLWWWDWWLL1.90 PPG
CA FERROCARRIL MIDLANDWLWDLWWLLW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CA ATLANTA HOMExCA FERROCARRIL MIDLAND AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.230.97CONCEDED A GAME0.8350%CLEAN SHEETS60%3.66CORNERS A GAME4.232.00CARDS A GAME1.97
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
CA FERROCARRIL MIDLAND 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.90POINTS A GAME1.67+0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.58-1.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.22.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.410LEAGUE GAMES12
CA Atlanta: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
58%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
35%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
73%
NO · 85/90
CA ATLANTA OR DRAW
80%
OKAY · 80/85
CA FERROCARRIL MIDLAND OR DRAW
38%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CA ATLANTAxCA FERROCARRIL MIDLAND
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.801.20CONCEDED A GAME0.802.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE20%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–11.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CA Atlanta have scored in 70% of their games.
CA Ferrocarril Midland have scored in 70% of their games.
CA Atlanta kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
CA Ferrocarril Midland kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards